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[Spetrm]

I decided to create this forum as a way to put out there that an invest has been announced in the western pacific.

When A storm gets named thought it will likely get its own forum.

[Spetrm]

Invest 93W is in the located near 120E 12N

[oakland]

Thanks.  I brain is having trouble keeping up with all that's been going on.

[Spetrm]

Dont worry about it, I been staying busy as well. And to be honest the atlantic is way off my brain most of the time.


Looks like 93W is about done with now. HURRAH! There has been a lot of suppression on these systems out here, lets hope it stays that way.

[Hills]

hope u have lots of time to relax.

[oakland]

From your post, Hills, to God's ear!

[Spetrm]

Another one S of China Near Vietnam....



1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.0N 111.7E TO 15.8N 108.4E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.  AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 251200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 12.2N 111.4E.  THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.7N
111.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 111.4E, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTING OVER THE WESTERN
SEMICIRCLE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN A
251210Z SSMIS IMAGE. THE SSMIS IMAGE AND OTHER RECENT MICROWAVE
PASSES INDICATE A SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT IN LOW-LEVEL BANDING OVER THE
PAST TWELVE HOURS. THIS DISTURBANCE LIES EQUATORWARD OF AN UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR,
APPROXIMATELY 20 KNOTS FROM THE EAST-NORTHEAST. RECENT SHIP REPORTS
NEAR THE LLCC INDICATE SUSTAINED WINDS AS HIGH AS 20 KNOTS AND
SURFACES PRESSURES RANGING FROM 1001 TO 1004 MB. ALTHOUGH THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR THE WARNING THRESHOLD OF 25 KNOTS, CONTINUED
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND POTENTIAL LAND INTERACTION COULD
STILL INHIBIT THIS LOW PRESSURE AREA FROM CONSOLIDATING INTO A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DEPRESSION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED LOW LEVEL ORGANIZATION
INDICATED IN BOTH MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS AND THE RECENT INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION JUST WEST OF
THE LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
261730Z.//

[oakland]

I saw elsewhere that you're headed for a vacation.  Enjoy!!!!!

[bigtrucker]

Enjoy your vacation Spet!!!

[Spetrm]

Not really on vacation, just a few liberty days in Palau, its fun. I'm still at work though. I guess my work can be like a vacation from time to time. LOL

On another note, watch around 140E there is a wave devloping there, I think this thing is going pop in to something.